Analytics for every strategy
Your key market insights, powered by Polarity's interpretative layer.
Market State Analytics
Real-time structure
Visualize the invisible forces shaping consensus. Move beyond simple prices to understand structural market dynamics with probability density and localized variance.
Comprehensive Analysis Infrastructure
Polarity treats prediction markets as rigorous information systems, providing the tooling required to interpret belief dynamics without execution bias.
Market State Analytics
Detailed representations of probability curves, volume distribution, and uncertainty persistence across time.
Historical Analysis
Full market lifecycle reconstruction compared to real-time snapshots, enabling longitudinal belief study.
Cross-Market Comparison
Standardized schemas to compare volatility, participation, and liquidity across differing events.
Timeline Mapping
Align probability movements with real-world news and milestones to reduce interpretive ambiguity.
AI Interpretation
Natural-language summaries and context for probability shifts, acting as an interpretive interface.
"market": "fed-rates",
"prob": 0.85,
"delta": +0.12
}
Developer APIs
Structured programmatic access for external research, educational tools, and dataset exports.
Building the Future of
Market Intelligence
Prediction markets capture how groups think—but rarely explain how that thinking changes. Polarity provides a neutral lens for examining, measuring, and comparing these transitions.
Neutral Analytical Standard
Establish the definitive open standard for understanding belief dynamics in decentralized prediction markets.
Research Infrastructure
Power the next generation of economic, social, and collective intelligence research through prediction market data.
Community-Driven Evolution
Enable researchers, developers, and analysts to shape the future of prediction market analytics.
Our Mission
Enable transparent interpretation of prediction-market data
Reduce cognitive and technical barriers to market analysis
Provide explainability tools that prioritize clarity over persuasion
Support researchers, developers, and advanced users with neutral analytics
The protocol is intentionally non-promotional, non-executing, and non-advisory—reinforcing its role as an observer rather than a participant in market dynamics.
The Interpretability Gap
Prediction markets align consensus, but they rarely explain why it shifts.
Interpretation Gap
Market interfaces optimize for immediacy, leaving limited room for deep analysis.
Siloed Data
Data is fragmented across chains and markets, making comparison impossible.
Lack of Narrative
Raw probabilities don't reveal structural forces or sentiment shifts behind the numbers.
Natural language summaries of market evolution.
Explain movements within broader behavior.
Highlight unusual data patterns.
Protocol Roadmap
Indicative milestones for establishing Polarity as the standard for prediction market analytics.
Analytics Foundation
Establishing stable, transparent analytical foundation for market observation.
- Reliable data ingestion from Polymarket APIs
- Market state reconstruction & analytics
- Baseline dashboards for probability visualization
- Initial access coordination mechanisms
AI Interpretation
Reducing cognitive overhead with AI-assisted behavior summarization.
- AI-assisted summarization of market behavior
- Event-aligned timeline mapping
- Cross-market comparison tooling
- Enhanced historical analytics
Governance & APIs
Community-informed prioritization and developer extensibility.
- Governance signaling mechanisms ($POLAR)
- Modular feature extensions
- Developer-facing APIs and documentation
- Integration of additional data sources
Research Ecosystem
Long-term infrastructure for studying belief dynamics.
- Advanced belief-dynamics modeling
- Dataset export for academic research
- Experimental visualization frameworks
- Tooling for large-scale comparative studies
*From Polarity Protocol Roadmap 2025-2026. Read technical documentation
